55 comments
91 forecasters
When will China officially cease to be a socialist state?
Current estimate
2094
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2021
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
4.83 states
(2.88 - 7.46)
4.83 states
(2.88 - 7.46)
97 forecasters
When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?
2084
(Jan 2055 - >2100)
2084
(Jan 2055 - >2100)
41 forecasters
When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?
Oct 2039
(14 Apr 2030 - Mar 2059)
Oct 2039
(14 Apr 2030 - Mar 2059)
109 forecasters