Question
How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
782k vehicles
(<1 vehicles - 6.71M vehicles)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 31.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <1 | — |
| median | 782.4k | — |
| upper 75% | 6.71M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100M | 4.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2022