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2
54
forecasters
16
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54 forecasters
Technology
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?
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66%
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1 comment
44 forecasters
Cryonics Institute to go bankrupt
83%
chance
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Revival chance at Alcor vs Cryonics Institute
Current estimate
0.841 ratio
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Neuropreservation price at Alcor 2030
Current estimate
112k $
26 comments
285 forecasters
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
2%
chance
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Cryonic resuscitation before 2100
5%
chance
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Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
50%
chance
4 comments
47 forecasters
What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?
Current estimate
2.36%
20 comments
40 forecasters
How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?
Current estimate
403 patients