🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States?

Resolved :2.55M3.42M
5
17
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction3.42M (3.06M - 3.81M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10M
...
...
...
...
3.064M
3.424M
3.809M
0.3%

What was the final result?2.55M

Community Baseline Score
54.1
Community Peer Score
-0.3
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
COVID-19 vaccine
United States
Medicine
Immunology
Virology

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