Question

On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters97
Community Prediction
67%
(61% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 67%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-47.4
Community Peer Score
4.3
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021