16 comments
131 forecasters
Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?
95%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolved:Jan 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2021
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
25% chance
54
Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?
22% chance
51