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12
100
forecasters
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12 comments
100 forecasters
Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021
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Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?
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13 comments
33 forecasters
Date Next SCOTUS Vacancy Arises
Current estimate
15 Jun 2027
19 comments
781 forecasters
SCOTUS composition change in 2026?
20%
chance
0 comments
24 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%
11 comments
205 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase during Trump's second term?
2%
chance
29 comments
132 forecasters
SCOTUS Impeachment and Removal by 2030
3%
chance
46 comments
177 forecasters
SCOTUS Changes Size before 2050
35%
chance
1 comment
6 forecasters
Proportion of Q2 2026 SCOTUS decisions issued by Democratic appointee?
Current estimate
0.267
5 comments
69 forecasters
SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
0
10%
3 or more
9%