82 forecasters

Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?

95%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 19, 2021

Closes:

May 31, 2021

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 21, 2021