13 comments
108 forecasters
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021?
14%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 14% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2021
Resolved:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 21, 2021
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Donald Trump's second presidency?
30% chance
22
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?
59% chance
51
Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?
67% chance
59