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Authors:
Opened:Feb 27, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 1, 2018
If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?
Jul 2040
(Sep 2036 - Sep 2043)
Jul 2040
(Sep 2036 - Sep 2043)
12 forecasters
What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?
1028 events
(797 - 1346)
1028 events
(797 - 1346)
37 forecasters
Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?
7% chance
48