Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
80
comments
449
forecasters
Will Kessler syndrome occur before 2050?
14%
chance
Share
Predict
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
jzima
Opened:
Feb 27, 2018
Closes:
Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 1, 2018
Economy & Business
Technology
Space
Similar Questions
If Kessler syndrome is not triggered, when will peak space debris be reached?
Jul 2040
(Sep 2036 - Sep 2043)
Jul 2040
(Sep 2036 - Sep 2043)
12
forecasters
What will be the estimated number of break-ups, explosions, collisions, or anomalous events resulting in fragmentation in space as of January 1, 2030?
1028 events
(797 - 1346)
1028 events
(797 - 1346)
37
forecasters
Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?
7%
chance
48
Show More Questions