Question
When will the number of functional artificial satellites in orbit exceed 5,000?
Resolved:10 Feb 2022Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
26 Aug 2022
(27 May 2022 - 10 Dec 2022)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 May 2022 | — |
| median | 26 Aug 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 10 Dec 2022 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2028 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?10 Feb 2022
Community Peer Score
0.5
Authors:
Opened:May 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Resolves:Dec 31, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Resolves:Dec 31, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2021