🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will the US-EU border reopen?

Resolved :Above upper bound2022-01-13
8
17
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction2022-01-13 (2021-11-08 - 2022-03-15)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2022-03-15
...
...
...
...
2021-11-08 08:22
2022-01-13 06:50
>2022-03-15 00:00
27.8%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
-38.1
Community Peer Score
59.8
Authors:
2e10e122
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
European Union
Accession of Turkey to the EU
United Kingdom
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Joe Biden

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