🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-07-01?

Resolved :370M320M
1
7
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction320M (276M - 362M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<1M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1B
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
276M
320.2M
362.1M
0.5%

What was the final result?370M

Community Baseline Score
52.3
Community Peer Score
14.7
Authors:
faz
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
European Union
COVID-19 vaccine
Medicine
Immunology
Virology

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