Question

What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

7.73%

(1.4% - 14.6%)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	1.402%	7.726%	14.56%
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1.402%	—
median	7.726%	—
upper 75%	14.56%	—

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Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 29, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 29, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 6, 2021

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

5.57

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

24%

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

20%

Authors:

NunoSempere

Opened:

Mar 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 29, 2070

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 29, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 6, 2021

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

5.57

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

24%

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

20%