Question

Will KIC 9832227 go "red nova" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?

Resolved:No
9
14
Total Forecasters99
Community Prediction
18%
(10% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 18%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
57.9
Community Peer Score
21.7
Authors:
AdamKosloff
Opened:Mar 5, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 6, 2018
Natural Sciences
Space
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