114 comments
288 forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolved:Jul 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
27% chance
53
Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?
94% chance
124
Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?
5% chance
43