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114 comments
288 forecasters

Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?

99%chance
99%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolved:Jul 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2021
Politics
2021 Leaderboard
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New York Post•Sep 9, 2025
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Cuomo campaign makes last-ditch effort to breathe life into NYC mayoral campaign with staff shake-up
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Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?

27% chance
53

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

94% chance
124

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

5% chance
43
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