114 comments
288 forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolved:Jul 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 2, 2021
Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?
99% chance
127
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
14.7 pp
(10.3 - 18.9)
14.7 pp
(10.3 - 18.9)
12 forecasters
Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?
5% chance
43