Question
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the continental Europe synchronous grid before 2023?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters72
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 2.2%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
12.9
Community Baseline Score
51.8
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
60%
Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?
9%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will there be a large-scale power outage in the Continental Europe synchronous grid affecting multiple countries before 2028?
42%
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
60%
Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?
9%