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111 comments
81 forecasters

When will the fifth SpaceX Starship flight be?

community
05 May 2021 19:01
result
05 May 2021 22:20
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
ThirdEyeOpen
Opened:Mar 7, 2021
Closes:Jul 15, 2021
Resolved:May 5, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 8, 2021
Economy & Business
Technology
Space
2021 Leaderboard
Bloomberg logo
Musk Says SpaceX to Fly Bigger, Fully Reusable Starship in 2026
Bloomberg•Sep 11, 2025
Wired logo
SpaceX Targets an Orbital Starship Flight With a Next-Gen Vehicle in 2026
Wired•Sep 10, 2025
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When will SpaceX Starship first successfully fly an external customer payload?

07 Aug 2026
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07 Aug 2026
(11 Jan 2026 - >01 Jan 2027)
60 forecasters

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

3
51.7%
2
36.9%
4
10.1%
3 others
46 forecasters
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