Question

What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?

Resolved:432.72k

6 comments6

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction

337k

(274k - 409k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2M
community	273.5k	337.5k	408.8k	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	273.5k	—
median	337.5k	—
upper 75%	408.8k	—
Upper bound
>2M	0.2%	—

What was the final result?432.72k

Community Baseline Score

70.5

Community Peer Score

2.0

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Mar 3, 2021

Closes:

Mar 15, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 9, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 5, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

1772

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%