🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the 7-day rolling average of the % B.1.1.7 in the US on 27 March 2021 (between 21 March 2021 and 27 March 2021)?

Resolved :4644.1
4
2
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction44.1 (34.9 - 52.8)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
34.95
44.14
52.79

What was the final result?46

Community Baseline Score
44.8
Community Peer Score
8.4
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Microbiology
United Kingdom
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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