Question
How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?
Resolved:5Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction
3.11
(3 - 4.02)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2.5 | 4.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2.995 | — |
| median | 3.109 | — |
| upper 75% | 4.021 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6.5 | 1.9% | — |
What was the final result?5
Community Baseline Score
86.4
Community Peer Score
30.5
Authors:
Opened:Mar 3, 2021
Closes:Mar 15, 2021
Resolves:Apr 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 5, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 3, 2021
Closes:Mar 15, 2021
Resolves:Apr 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 5, 2021
