147 forecasters

Will a large American city fully abolish their police department before 2035?

1%chance

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 6, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 7, 2021

Could a self-monitoring system for criminals replace prisons one day?

New Scientist•Oct 23, 2025

Removing Cops from Traffic Enforcement Still on the Table in Los Angeles

Breitbart•Oct 20, 2025

Notoriously violent area of NYC BANS cops in bid to beat crime

Daily Mail•Oct 19, 2025

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