423 forecasters

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?

6%chance

6%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 6% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 6, 2021

Closes:

Apr 23, 2022

Resolved:

Apr 24, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 7, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Marine Le Pen exploring various routes to clear path to presidential run, despite electoral ban

Independent•Sep 13, 2025

Marine Le Pen Condemns Latest Church Attack in France

Newsweek•Sep 10, 2025

Marine Le Pen is calling the shots now

Spectator (UK)•Sep 9, 2025

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