Question
When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
Jul 2034
(18 Apr 2030 - Jan 2039)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <06 Mar 2025 | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 18 Apr 2030 | — |
| median | Jul 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2039 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 0.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 6, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 8, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 6, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 8, 2021