6 comments
30 forecasters
When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?
Current estimate
May 2034
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 6, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 8, 2021
When will zettascale computing be achieved?
Nov 2036
(Apr 2033 - Jan 2041)
Nov 2036
(Apr 2033 - Jan 2041)
30 forecasters
When will one TeraFLOP/s cost <$1?
30 Apr 2030
(07 Mar 2027 - Jun 2034)
30 Apr 2030
(07 Mar 2027 - Jun 2034)
79 forecasters
When will a Chinese organization train a large model on GPUs that deliver more than 1500 TFLOPs@FP16?
14 Feb 2025
(30 May 2024 - 05 Feb 2026)
14 Feb 2025
(30 May 2024 - 05 Feb 2026)
8 forecasters