5 comments
60 forecasters
Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?
22%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 22% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 10, 2021
Closes:Jul 16, 2021
Resolved:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 12, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the ceasefire between the U.S. and Yemen’s Houthis mediated by Oman be broken before June 2026?
51% chance
16
Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
5% chance
1.9k
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
21 Mar 2027
(31 May 2026 - 09 May 2028)
21 Mar 2027
(31 May 2026 - 09 May 2028)
344 forecasters