Question

Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters83

Community Prediction

70%

(41% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Mar 12, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 13, 2021

When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?

Jan 2042

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

20%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Mar 12, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 13, 2021

When will pig-to-human xenotransplantation become a routine medical procedure?

Jan 2042

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

20%