Question
What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in April 2021?
Resolved:86.5Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
82.9
(79.1 - 86.2)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <50 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 79.11 | — |
| median | 82.94 | — |
| upper 75% | 86.24 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?86.5
Community Baseline Score
18.7
Community Peer Score
7.3
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2021
Closes:Apr 15, 2021
Resolves:Apr 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85%
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
8%
What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?
0.18
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2021
Closes:Apr 15, 2021
Resolves:Apr 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85%
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
8%
What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?
0.18