9 comments
47 forecasters
Will the Australian Census of 2021 show at least 50% not religious?
13%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 13% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2021
Closes:Aug 9, 2021
Resolved:Jun 28, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2021
Will 'No Religion' responses represent at least 50% of the Australian population in the 2026 census?
40% chance
25
What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?
21.1%
(16.7 - 26.4)
21.1%
(16.7 - 26.4)
117 forecasters
What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegetarian diet in 2028?
7.04%
(5.34 - 8.73)
7.04%
(5.34 - 8.73)
84 forecasters