Question

Will someone hold their breath for more than 30 minutes before 2025?

Resolved:No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters207

Community Prediction

(0.1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

75.9

Community Peer Score

27.5

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Mar 19, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2018

Natural Sciences

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

7146

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

25%

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Mar 19, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 19, 2018

Natural Sciences

Health & Pandemics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

7146

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

25%

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%