🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "medium"?

Resolved :Jun 15, 20212021-06-24
8
6
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction2021-06-24 (2021-06-12 - 2021-07-18)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-12-31
...
...
...
...
2021-06-12 16:23
2021-06-24 12:19
2021-07-18 09:04
0.5%

What was the final result?Jun 15, 2021

Community Baseline Score
4.7
Community Peer Score
3.3
Authors:
literallytrevor
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
New York City
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Epidemiology

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