Question
On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "medium"?
Resolved:15 Jun 2021 13:58Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
24 Jun 2021 12:19
(12 Jun 2021 16:23 - 18 Jul 2021)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 12 Jun 2021 16:23 | — |
median | 24 Jun 2021 12:19 | — |
upper 75% | 18 Jul 2021 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>31 Dec 2023 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?15 Jun 2021 13:58
Community Peer Score
3.3
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2021
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2021
What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?
What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44%