117 forecasters

Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman before 2046?

1%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 21, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2046

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2046

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 21, 2021

Social Sciences

Scientists create embryos for infertile couples using only SKIN cells... as fertility in US plummets

Daily Mail•Nov 2, 2025

Could smaller families 'rewild' the planet — and make humans happier?

NPR Online News•Nov 1, 2025

Anxiety over global warming is leading some young Americans to say they don’t want children

Associated Press•Oct 29, 2025

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