🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?

Resolved :Below lower bound600k
1
6
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction...

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<600k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1M
...
...
...
...
...
72.7%
<600k
<600k
601.6k
0.3%

What was the final result?Below lower bound

Community Baseline Score
104.5
Community Peer Score
11.1
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooksAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
COVID-19
Jobless claims
Political economy
Public health
Medicine
Federal Reserve
Virology

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