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18 comments
36 forecasters

Will Jannik Sinner be the first man born in the 2000s to win a slam in Tennis?

1%chance
1%chance
ResolvedNo
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
SimonM
Opened:Apr 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolved:Sep 11, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021
Sports & Entertainment
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Alcaraz and Sabalenka make history with U.S. Open victories
PBS NewsHour•Sep 9, 2025
Guardian logo
Sinner’s reaction to US Open defeat shows why he and Alcaraz will tower over the tour for years to come
Guardian•Sep 9, 2025
New York Times logo
The U.S. Open continued Alcaraz and Sinner’s tennis domination. What now?
New York Times•Sep 8, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2050 what will be the all-time tennis slam singles record for men?

25.5 titles
(24.1 - 27.3)
25.5 titles
(24.1 - 27.3)
35 forecasters

How many Grand Slams will Carlos Alcaraz win?

14.6 Grand Slams
(10.7 - 18.4)
14.6 Grand Slams
(10.7 - 18.4)
28 forecasters

When will the next man win his 10th tennis slam title?

25 Mar 2030
(04 Feb 2028 - Jan 2034)
25 Mar 2030
(04 Feb 2028 - Jan 2034)
24 forecasters
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