5 comments
31 forecasters
How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2021
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
52.3 Deaths
(44.1 - 68.2)
52.3 Deaths
(44.1 - 68.2)
150 forecasters
Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?
3% chance
55
What will be the total median number of global under-5 child deaths reported in UNICEF's 2026 report for 2024?
4.62 Million deaths
(4.5 - 4.76)
4.62 Million deaths
(4.5 - 4.76)
5 forecasters