Question
How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?
Resolved:1939Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
1976
(1872 - 2098)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <500 | 0.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1872 | — |
| median | 1976 | — |
| upper 75% | 2098 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6000 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?1939
Community Baseline Score
57.4
Community Peer Score
6.5
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2021
