31 forecasters

How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?

community

1976

result

1939

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

May 15, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Boat with over 100 migrants runs aground in Dakar, Senegal

Associated Press•Sep 17, 2025

At least 50 dead after vessel carrying Sudanese refugees catches fire

Al Jazeera•Sep 16, 2025

Two children among three dead in small boat disaster: Tragedy after 38 migrants attempted to cross English Channel to the UK in one dinghy

Daily Mail•Sep 10, 2025

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