131 forecasters

Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session?

25%chance

25%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 2, 2021

Closes:

Feb 1, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 3, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 3, 2021

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Should the GOP Nuke the Shutdown?

PJ Media•Oct 10, 2025

Republicans Not Yet Considering Changing Filibuster Rules to End Government Shutdown

Townhall•Oct 10, 2025

Senate GOP resists 'nuclear option' as Dem shutdown standoff deepens

FOX News•Oct 9, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch