Question
When will a SpaceX Starship be intact 24 hours after flying?
Resolved:05 May 2021 22:24Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
07 May 2021 05:39
(03 May 2021 16:14 - 11 May 2021 01:11)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 03 May 2021 16:14 | — |
| median | 07 May 2021 05:39 | — |
| upper 75% | 11 May 2021 01:11 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >27 Jun 2022 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?05 May 2021 22:24
Community Baseline Score
20.8
Community Peer Score
2.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 6, 2021
Closes:Aug 30, 2021
Resolves:Aug 30, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 6, 2021
Closes:Aug 30, 2021
Resolves:Aug 30, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2021
