86 forecasters

If a language model is trained with 5x more compute than GPT-3 by the end of 2022, will it be public to end users?

5%chance

5%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 12, 2021

Artificial Intelligence

Computing and Math

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