43 comments
86 forecasters
If a language model is trained with 5x more compute than GPT-3 by the end of 2022, will it be public to end users?
5%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2021
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