128 forecasters

Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?

2%chance

2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 17, 2021

Closes:

Nov 8, 2021

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 17, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

'It is time to call Putin's WW3 bluff': Russia's drone incursions are the signal NATO must now join the fight in Ukraine or risk European invasion, experts warn

Daily Mail•Sep 16, 2025

Drills in Belarus and drone incursions into Romania: How the war in Ukraine has already become a European conflict

Independent•Sep 15, 2025

NATO could spark all-out war with Russia if it shoots down drones over Ukraine, Moscow warns as Europe bolsters its borders amid invasion fears

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

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