Question
When will Nate Silver release his second book?
Resolved:13 Aug 2024 12:00Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction
17 Aug 2024 06:29
(29 Jul 2024 - 10 Sep 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 29 Jul 2024 | — |
| median | 17 Aug 2024 06:29 | — |
| upper 75% | 10 Sep 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >03 Apr 2026 | 2.3% | — |
What was the final result?13 Aug 2024 12:00
Community Baseline Score
25.2
Community Peer Score
35.8
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2021
Closes:Apr 4, 2026
Resolves:Apr 4, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 14, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2021
Closes:Apr 4, 2026
Resolves:Apr 4, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 14, 2021