Question

What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2030?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction

14k metric tons/year

(6943 metric tons/year - 30.6k metric tons/year)

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CDF

	<2000	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>200k
community	7.2%	6943	13.96k	30.59k	3.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<2000	7.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	6943	—
median	13.96k	—
upper 75%	30.59k	—
Upper bound
>200k	3.2%	—

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Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Apr 22, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 24, 2021

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