13 comments
82 forecasters
Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?
54%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 54% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 22, 2021
Closes:Apr 22, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 24, 2021
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Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?
1% chance
13
Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu before 2027?
8% chance
77
When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved for sale in the US?
17 Oct 2025
(17 Sep 2024 - 20 Jan 2027)
17 Oct 2025
(17 Sep 2024 - 20 Jan 2027)
67 forecasters