Question
What will the age-adjusted mortality rate be in England and Wales in 2051?
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction
815 per 100,000
(590 per 100,000 - 1025 per 100,000)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 590.3 | — |
| median | 814.9 | — |
| upper 75% | 1025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2500 | 0.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2052
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2052
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch