Question

When will the US 7-day moving average of COVID cases fall below 30k?

Resolved:Ambiguous

7 comments7

Total Forecasters3

Community Prediction

12 Aug 2022

(26 May 2022 - 06 Dec 2022)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	26 May 2022	12 Aug 2022	06 Dec 2022
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	26 May 2022	—
median	12 Aug 2022	—
upper 75%	06 Dec 2022	—

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

May 7, 2021

Closes:

May 8, 2021

Resolves:

May 16, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 8, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

>22 Dec 2025

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Authors:

taskaryan

Opened:

May 7, 2021

Closes:

May 8, 2021

Resolves:

May 16, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 8, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?

>22 Dec 2025

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%