25 comments
80 forecasters
What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?
Current estimate
<100 people
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:May 3, 2021
Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?
4.9% chance
77
When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
3 forecasters
How many charter cities will exist by 2026?
29.2 cities
(26.9 - 31.7)
29.2 cities
(26.9 - 31.7)
55 forecasters