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122 forecasters

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122 forecasters

AI Demonstrations

Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?

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5 comments29 forecasters

400 thousand robotaxis before 2032

6 comments45 forecasters

Tesla first company with autonomous success

12 comments43 forecasters

90% of US road vehicles sold in 2075 have Level 5 autonomy?

125 comments219 forecasters

Self-Driving Car Availability by SAE Level

34 comments176 forecasters

Will Tesla mass produce humanoid robots

107 comments202 forecasters

Self-Driving Taxis Available to Metaculites

Tesla08 May 2027

Any Service31 Dec 2026

Waymo18 Feb 2027

22 comments32 forecasters

Driverless cars in Las Vegas in 2029

8 comments64 forecasters

Who will win the bet? Gary Marcus vs Nathan Young, on Waymo vs Tesla robotaxis?

Gary Marcus win96.2%

Nathan Young win3.7%